Saturday Pool Play — Two Game Plans

TPA Nationals 10u Elite · Perfect Game · 2026-05-30 · 10 available (no #10 Findley, no #17 Mantzouris) · 2 pool Sat, up to 3 bracket Sun (single elim)

Hidden Reads in the Numbers

Parker's combined pitching line: 2.0 IP / 18.00 ERA / 4.00 WHIP. Season 1.0 IP / 0.00 ERA / 0 H / 2 K plus scrimmage 1.0 IP / 5 H / 5 R / 4 ER / 2 BB. A Parker outing projects ~3–4 runs based on combined H+BB rate — plan infield-in defense with RISP and have a stretch arm warming.

Robey's combined line is 2.0 IP / 4.50 ERA / 2.00 WHIP / 4 K. Season 12.00 ERA was an outlier; scrimmage was 1.0 IP / 0 H / 0 R / 0 BB / 1 K on 9-of-18 strikes. Second-best K rate on the staff after Bailey.

Walks and Wild Pitches. At 10u, walks correlate with wild pitches and wild pitches correlate directly with runs. The Saturday-eligible arms with the highest walk rates: Biggs (10 BB in 3.1 IP combined, 5.10 WHIP, 38.9% FPS), Parker (3 BB in 2.0 IP combined, 4.00 WHIP), Cooper Johnson (2 BB in 2.0 IP, 3.00 WHIP). For all three: stretch arm warming from pitch 1, infield-in with RISP, and a clear next-arm queued so the swap is fast if a second walk or wild pitch turns into a third.

Strike% leaderboard among Sat-eligible arms (season): Bailey 74.4% (held for Sunday), Waylon 68.1%, James Cooper 64.6%, Robey 57.7%, Packham 53.9%, Parker 50.0%, Smith 48.6%, Cooper Johnson 48.6%, Biggs 38.9%.

Catcher Depth for Hot Days. Parker (18.2 season C innings), Michael (2.0 season C innings — listed as primary C), James Cooper (1.0 season C innings), Cooper Johnson available as a fourth. Two-inning rotation default and rotate sooner if the heat index trends as forecast. Parker carries 6 of 12 defensive innings Saturday — under 70% of the catching load and leaves him fresh for Sunday's bracket.

Where to build infield depth this weekend

SS reps for Waylon Reeke — 7.0 season SS innings. Slate 2–3 SS innings Saturday with Packham at 2B.
2B reps for Bailey — 3.0 season 2B innings. Slate 2–3 2B innings to grow the depth chart.
CF pinch rep for Jed Packham — pocket option if Robey pitches both games.

Perfect Game 9U–10U Pitching Rules in Play

Limit	Number	Implication this weekend
Daily cap	18 outs OR 75 pitches	Per-game ceiling for any pitcher
>9 outs in a day	2 days rest required	Any Saturday outing of 3.1 IP+ = OUT Sunday
Event cap (2-day)	24 outs / 100 pitches	Combined weekend ceiling per pitcher
Games per day	2 max	A pitcher can throw both pool games

Operating principle: cap every Saturday pitcher at ≤9 outs total for the day so all remain Sunday-eligible.

Saturday Pitcher Board — Combined Stats (Season + Scrimmage)

#	Pitcher	IP	ERA	WHIP	K	BB	Strike% (season)
33	Bailey	10.0	1.80	2.20	5	2	74.4%
5	James Cooper	4.1	4.16	2.31	4	3	64.6%
54	Smith	2.0	0.00	1.50	4	2	48.6%
67	Robey	2.0	4.50	2.00	4	1	57.7%
44	Cooper Johnson	2.0	0.00	3.00	1	2	48.6%
22	Parker Reeke	2.0	18.00	4.00	2	3	50.0%
24	Biggs	3.1	13.50	5.10	4	10	38.9%
7	Waylon	2.2	15.75	3.38	1	0	68.1%
3	Packham	1.1	~40	~7.5	0	2	53.9%

Lineup (both plans)

#	Player	Stat reasoning
1	#22 Parker Reeke	.750 OBP · 1.806 OPS · 94% contact · 1 K in 20 PA · 5 SB
2	#7 Waylon Reeke	11.1% combined K rate · 90% contact · 67% QAB · 5 BB
3	#5 James Cooper	2.524 OPS · .800 BA/RISP · .857 OBP · 100% contact
4	#44 Cooper Johnson	.938 SLG · 1.563 OPS · .625 AVG · 62.5% QAB
5	#33 Benjamin Bailey	1.767 OPS · 1.000 BA/RISP · 1.167 SLG · 4 XBH in 12 AB
6	#67 Owen Robey	.714 OBP · 1.314 OPS · 4 BB in 14 PA
7	#24 Carson Biggs	.600 OBP · 1.236 OPS · 53% QAB · 4 BB
8	#54 Fletcher Smith	67% QAB · 1.206 OPS · .471 AVG · 7 RBI
9	#28 Michael Thomas	71% QAB · 100% contact · 1.405 OPS in 7 PA
10	#3 Jed Packham	.474 OBP · 1.099 OPS · 3 XBH in 19 PA

Plan A vs Plan B

PLAN A

Hold Bailey AND James Cooper for Sunday

Saturday pitching from Smith, Robey, Cooper Johnson, Waylon, Biggs, Parker, Packham. Bailey and James Cooper held off the mound — both still in the lineup and in the field every inning per the charts below.

Sunday capacity: Bailey 18 outs / 75 pitches; James Cooper 18 outs / 75 pitches.

PLAN B

James Cooper Opens G1 Saturday, Bailey Held

James Cooper 2 IP / ~30p in Game 1, then back to fielding. Smith, Robey, Cooper Johnson, Waylon, Parker, Packham fill the rest. Bailey held off the mound — still in lineup and field every inning.

Sunday capacity: Bailey 18/75; James Cooper ~12 outs / ~70 pitches under the event cap.

Pitching — Plan A

Game 1

Inn	Pitcher	Pitch target	What to plan around
1–2	#54 Smith	~30	0.00 ERA · 4 K · .143 BAA
3–4	#67 Robey	~30	Combined 4.50 ERA / 4 K / 2.00 WHIP
5	#7 Waylon	~15	68.1% strike% — highest non-Bailey, non-James-Cooper
6	#24 Biggs	~15	5.10 WHIP — see Walks and Wild Pitches

Game 2

Inn	Pitcher	Pitch target	What to plan around
1–2	#44 Cooper Johnson	~30	0.00 ERA / 3.00 WHIP — see Walks and Wild Pitches
3	#22 Parker Reeke	~15	Combined 18.00 ERA — see Walks and Wild Pitches
4	#3 Packham	~15	Combined ~7.5 WHIP — development rep with staff playing tight
5	#54 Smith	~15	Second outing — 3 more outs keeps him at 9 day-total
6	#67 Robey	~15	Second outing — same math as Smith

Plan A Sat workload: Smith 9 outs · Robey 9 outs · Cooper Johnson 6 outs · Waylon 3 · Biggs 3 · Parker 3 · Packham 3. All ≤9 outs / day → all Sunday-eligible. Bailey & James Cooper 0.

Pitching — Plan B

Game 1

Inn	Pitcher	Pitch target	What to plan around
1–2	#5 James Cooper	~30	Combined 4.16 ERA · 64.6% strike% · 4 K
3–4	#54 Smith	~30	0.00 ERA · 4 K · .143 BAA
5	#67 Robey	~15	Combined 4.50 ERA / 4 K
6	#7 Waylon	~15	68.1% strike%

Game 2

Inn	Pitcher	Pitch target	What to plan around
1–2	#44 Cooper Johnson	~30	0.00 ERA / 3.00 WHIP
3	#22 Parker Reeke	~15	Combined 18.00 ERA
4	#3 Packham	~15	Development rep
5	#54 Smith	~15	Second outing
6	#67 Robey	~15	Second outing

Plan B Sat workload: James Cooper 6 outs · Smith 9 · Robey 6 · Cooper Johnson 6 · Waylon 3 · Parker 3 · Packham 3. Biggs 0. Bailey 0. All Sunday-eligible.

Catcher Rotation

Game	Inn 1	Inn 2	Inn 3	Inn 4	Inn 5	Inn 6	Tally
G1	Parker	Parker	Michael	Michael	James C	Parker	Parker 3 · Michael 2 · James C 1
G2	Parker	Parker	Michael	Michael	Parker	Cooper J	Parker 3 · Michael 2 · Cooper J 1

Fielding — Plan A · Game 1

Inn	P	C	1B	2B	SS	3B	LF	CF	RF	Sit
1	Smith	Parker	Cooper J	Waylon	Packham	Biggs	Bailey	Robey	James C	Michael
2	Smith	Parker	Cooper J	Waylon	Packham	Biggs	Michael	Robey	James C	Bailey
3	Robey	Michael	Smith	Biggs	Waylon	James C	Bailey	Parker	Cooper J	Packham
4	Robey	Michael	Smith	Biggs	Waylon	James C	Bailey	Parker	Packham	Cooper J
5	Waylon	James C	Smith	Biggs	Packham	Cooper J	Bailey	Parker	Michael	Robey
6	Biggs	Parker	Cooper J	Waylon	Packham	James C	Bailey	Robey	Michael	Smith

Light-blue cells = developmental reps at secondary or new positions (Waylon SS inn 3–4, Packham RF inn 4, Michael RF inn 5–6, Cooper J 3B inn 5). Sit tally: Michael 1 · Bailey 1 · Packham 1 · Cooper J 1 · Robey 1 · Smith 1. James Cooper at RF inn 1–2 — his only OF innings of the game; 3B inn 3–4 and inn 6, catches inn 5.

Fielding — Plan A · Game 2

Inn	P	C	1B	2B	SS	3B	LF	CF	RF	Sit
1	Cooper J	Parker	Smith	Waylon	Packham	Biggs	Michael	Robey	James C	Bailey
2	Cooper J	Parker	Smith	Waylon	Packham	Biggs	Bailey	Robey	Michael	James C
3	Parker	Michael	Cooper J	Biggs	Waylon	James C	Bailey	Packham	Robey	Smith
4	Packham	Michael	Cooper J	Bailey	Biggs	James C	Parker	Robey	Smith	Waylon
5	Smith	Parker	Cooper J	Waylon	Packham	James C	Bailey	Robey	Michael	Biggs
6	Robey	Cooper J	Smith	Waylon	Packham	Biggs	Bailey	Michael	James C	Parker

Light-blue cells = developmental reps (Waylon SS inn 3, Biggs SS inn 4, Bailey 2B inn 4, Packham CF inn 3, Robey RF inn 3, Michael RF inn 2 and 5, Parker LF inn 4). Sit tally: Bailey 1 · James C 1 · Smith 1 · Waylon 1 · Biggs 1 · Parker 1.

Day Totals — Plan A

Player	Innings played	Position split	Sits
#5 James Cooper	11 of 12	3B 6 · RF 3 · C 1 · 2B 1	1
#44 Cooper Johnson	11 of 12	1B 6 · Mound 2 · C 1 · 3B 1 (dev) · RF 1	1
#22 Parker	11 of 12	C 6 · CF 3 · Mound 1 · LF 1 (dev)	1
#3 Packham	11 of 12	SS 8 · CF 1 (dev) · RF 1 (dev) · Mound 1	1
#7 Waylon	11 of 12	2B 7 · SS 3 · Mound 1	1
#24 Biggs	11 of 12	3B 5 · 2B 4 · SS 1 (dev) · Mound 1	1
#33 Bailey	10 of 12	LF 9 · 2B 1 (dev)	2 (one per game)
#54 Smith	10 of 12	1B 6 · Mound 3 · RF 1	2 (one per game)
#67 Robey	11 of 12	CF 7 · RF 1 (dev) · Mound 3	1
#28 Michael	11 of 12	C 4 · LF 2 · RF 4 (dev) · CF 1	1

Every kid sits at least once and at most twice. Smith and Bailey each take 2 sits (one per game, non-back-to-back across the game break). Eight others take exactly 1 sit.

Position-time highlights: James Cooper 3B 6 of 12 (vs. Biggs 5 of 12) — splits 3B with the edge going to James C. James C OF held to 3 spot innings (RF 3) across the day. Smith 1B 6 of 12 — reps in both games. Biggs no OF reps. Waylon SS 3 of 12 (vs. 7 all season prior). Cooper J 1B 6 of 12, plus a developmental 3B inning at G1 inn 5.

Fielding — Plan B Adjustments

Same charts as Plan A, with these substitutions in Game 1 inn 1–2:

P: James Cooper instead of Smith.
RF: Smith instead of James Cooper (Smith's secondary).
Sit / LF / other: rotate the Game 1 sit slate so Bailey or Michael take inn 1–2 (their inn 1–2 sits in Plan A).

From inn 3 onward, Plan B G1 mirrors Plan A G1 with Smith pitching inn 3–4 instead of Robey. Sit tally and day totals shift by ±1 inning per non-rotation kid.

Sunday Bracket Capacity (after Saturday)

Pitcher	Plan A Sun outs/pitches	Plan B Sun outs/pitches
#33 Bailey	18 / 75	18 / 75
#5 James Cooper	18 / 75	~12 / ~70
#54 Smith	~15 / ~70	~15 / ~70
#44 Cooper Johnson	~18 / ~70	~18 / ~70
#67 Robey	~15 / ~70	~15 / ~70
#22 Parker Reeke	~15 / 75	~15 / 75
#24 Biggs	~15 / ~85	~18 / ~100

Suggested Sunday distribution

Bracket G1: Bailey 12–18 outs / up to 75p.
Bracket G2: Plan A — James Cooper 12 outs + Cooper Johnson 6 outs. Plan B — Cooper Johnson 12 + Smith 6.
Bracket G3: Plan A — Smith + Robey + Parker + Biggs in committee. Plan B — James Cooper remainder + Smith + Robey + Parker in committee.

Recommendation

Default to Plan A for this format. With up to 3 bracket games Sunday and lose-and-go-home, Bailey + James Cooper both at full daily caps (18 outs / 75 pitches each) covers Bracket Games 1 and 2 cleanly.

Switch to Plan B if Game 1 Saturday is against a team where losing tanks pool seeding and PG seeds the bracket from pool record. Plan B trades ~6 outs of James Cooper's Sunday capacity for the highest-strike% Saturday Game 1 start available.

Stats merge data/current/team_summary.json (7-game baseline) with the recent scrimmage box. ERA/WHIP recomputed for affected pitchers. Strike% shown season-only because per-pitch scrimmage logs weren't captured.